Risk assessment scales to predict risk of lower extremity deep vein thrombosis among multiple trauma patients: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is a common complication in orthopedic patients. Previous studies have focused on major orthopedic surgery.There are few studies with multiple trauma. We aimed to describe the prevalence of DVT and compare the predictive power of the different risk assessment scales in patients with multiple trauma. METHODS: This prospective cohort study involved multiple trauma patients admitted to our hospital between October 2021 and December 2022. Data were prospectively collected for thrombotic risk assessments using the Risk Assessment Profile for thromboembolism(RAPT), the DVT risk assessment score (DRAS), and the Trauma Embolic Scoring System (TESS), respectively. The receiver operation characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were evaluated to compare the predictive power. The whole leg duplex ultrasound of both lower extremities Doppler ultrasound was used to determine DVT incidence. RESULTS: A total of 210 patients were included, and the incidence of DVT was 26.19%. Distal DVT accounted for 87.27%; postoperative DVT, 72.73%; and bilateral lower extremity thrombosis, 30.91%. There were significant differences in age, education degree, pelvic fracture, surgery, ISS, D-dimer level, length of hospital stay and ICU stay between the thrombosis group and the non-thrombosis group. The AUCs for RAPT, DRAS, and TESS were 0.737, 0.710, and 0.683, respectively. There were no significant differences between the three ROC curves. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of DVT was relatively high during hospitalization. We prospectively validated the tests to predict risk of DVT among patients with multiple trauma to help trauma surgeons in the clinical administration of DVT prophylaxis.

[Predictive value of three kinds of thrombosis risk assessment scale for lower extremity deep vein thrombosis after hip fracture in elderly patients].

OBJECTIVE: To explore predictive value of Caprini score, Wells score and Autar score for lower extremity deep vein thrombosis (DVT) after hip fracture in elderly patients. METHODS: A total of 310 elderly patients with hip fracture were selected from January 2018 to September 2022. According to the lower extremity color ultrasound examination results, 155 patients with DVT were divided into thrombosis group, included 42 males and 113 females, aged from 60 to 101 years old with an average of (80.58±8.84) years old; and 155 patients without DVT were divided into control group, included 58 males and 97 females, aged from 60 to 94 years old with an average of (79.01±8.99) years old. Caprini score, Wells score and Autar score immediately after admission were collected and compared between two groups. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate predictive value of three thrombus risk assessment tables for DVT after hip fracture in elderly patients. RESULTS: Caprini score, Wells score and Autar score in thrombus group were significantly higher than those in control group (P<0.001). ROC curve analysis results showed that the best cut-off value of Caprini score was 8.5 points, the sensitivity was 46.5%, the specificity was 99.4%, and area under the curve(AUC) was 0.763. The best cut-off value of Wells score was 1.5, the sensitivity was 100%, the specificity was 99.4%, and AUC was 0.998. The best cut-off value of Autar score was 10.5 points, the sensitivity was 58.1%, the specificity was 84.5%, and AUC was 0.717. CONCLUSION: Caprini scale, Wells scale and Autar scale all have good predictive efficacy for the risk of DVT in elderly patients with hip fracture, and could provide an important reference for clinical guidance for prevention, management and treatment of DVT after hip fracture in elderly patients, among which Wells scale has a higher predictive value.

Caprini risk assessment model combined with D-dimer to predict the occurrence of deep vein thrombosis and guide intervention after laparoscopic radical resection of colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: To explore the diagnostic value of Caprini risk assessment model (2005) combined with D-dimer for deep vein thrombosis, and to exclude patients with low incidence of thrombosis who might not need anticoagulation after surgery. METHODS: A total of 171 colorectal cancer patients who underwent surgery from January 2022 to August 2022 were enrolled in this study. Caprini risk assessment model was used to evaluate patients the day before surgery, and full-length venous ultrasonography of lower extremity was used to assess whether patients had thrombosis one day before surgery and the sixth day after surgery. The value of D-dimer was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays on the first day after surgery, and clinical data of patients were collected during hospitalization. RESULTS: A total of 171 patients were divided into IPC Group and IPC + LMWH Group according to whether low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) were used to prevent thrombus after surgery. Eventually, 17.6% (15/85) patients in IPC Group and 7% (6/86) patients in IPC + LMWH Group developed DVT. Through separate analysis of IPC Group, it is found that Caprini score and D-dimer were independent risk factors for DVT (Caprini OR 3.39 [95% CI 1.38-8.32]; P = 0.008, D-Dimer OR 6.142 [95% CI 1.209-31.187]; P = 0.029). The area under ROC curve of Caprini risk assessment model is 0.792 (95% CI 0.69-0.945, P < 0.01), the cut-off value is 9.5, and the area under ROC curve of D-dimer is 0.738 (95%CI 0.555-0.921, P < 0.01), the cut-off value is 0.835 µg/mL, and the area under the ROC curve was 0.865 (95% CI 0.754-0.976, P < 0.01) when both of them were combined. Based on decision curve analysis, it is found that Caprini risk assessment model combined with D-dimer can benefit patients more. All patients are divided into four groups. When Caprini score < 10 and D-dimer < 0.835 µg/mL, only 1.23% (1/81) of patients have thrombosis and LMWH has little significance. When Caprini score > 10 and D-dimer > 0.835 µg/mL, the incidence of DVT is 38.7% (12/31) and LMWH should be considered. CONCLUSIONS: The Caprini risk assessment model and D-dimer can provide more accurate risk stratification for patients after laparoscopic radical resection of colorectal cancer.

Early portal vein thrombosis after hepatectomy for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma: Incidence, risk factors, and management.

AIM: To study the incidence, risk factors and management of portal vein thrombosis (PVT) after hepatectomy for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHCC). PATIENTS AND METHOD: Single-center retrospective analysis of 86 consecutive patients who underwent major hepatectomy for PHCC, between 2012 and 2019, with comparison of the characteristics of the groups with (PVT+) and without (PVT-) postoperative portal vein thrombosis. RESULTS: Seven patients (8%) presented with PVT diagnosed during the first postoperative week. Preoperative portal embolization had been performed in 71% of patients in the PVT+ group versus 34% in the PVT- group (P=0.1). Portal reconstruction was performed in 100% and 38% of PVT+ and PVT- patients, respectively (P=0.002). In view of the gravity of the clinical and/or biochemical picture, five (71%) patients underwent urgent re-operation with portal thrombectomy, one of whom died early (hemorrhagic shock after surgical treatment of PVT). Two patients had exclusively medical treatment. Complete recanalization of the portal vein was achieved in the short and medium term in the six survivors. After a mean follow-up of 21 months, there was no statistically significant difference in overall survival between the two groups. FINDINGS: Post-hepatectomy PVT for PHCC is a not-infrequent and potentially lethal event. Rapid management, adapted to the extension of the thrombus and the severity of the thrombosis (hepatic function, signs of portal hypertension) makes it possible to limit the impact on postoperative mortality. We did not identify any modifiable risk factor. However, when it is oncologically and anatomically feasible, left±extended hepatectomy (without portal embolization) may be less risky than extended right hepatectomy, and portal vein resection should only be performed if there is strong suspicion of tumor invasion.

Deep vein thrombosis and validation of the Caprini risk assessment model in Chinese orthopaedic trauma patients: a multi-center retrospective cohort study enrolling 34,893 patients.

BACKGROUND: The risk of venous thromboembolism among orthopaedic trauma patients is high, but prevalence of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) remains unknown. In addition, the Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) score in orthopaedic trauma patients is undetermined in previous research. This study is aimed to determine the incidence of DVT and then validate the Caprini RAM in orthopaedic trauma patients. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study enrolling orthopaedic trauma inpatients from seven tertiary and secondary hospitals during a 3-year period (from April 1, 2018 through April 30, 2021). Caprini RAM scores were assessed by experienced nurses on admission. The patients with suspected DVT were verified through duplex ultrasonography by qualified radiologists, and then prospectively followed once a year after discharge. RESULTS: In total, 34,893 patients were enrolled in our study. The Caprini RAM identified 45.7% of patients at low risk (Caprini score 0-2), 25.9% at medium risk (3-4), and 28.3% at high risk (5-6), highest risk (7-8), and superhigh risk (> 8). Patients with Caprini score > 5 were likely to be older, female, and with longer length of hospital stay. Moreover, 8695 patients had received ultrasonography to detect DVT. The prevalence of DVT was determined to be 19.0% [95% confidence interval (CI) 18.2-19.9%], which significantly increased with Caprini score. The area under curve of the Caprini RAM for DVT was 0.77 (95% CI 0.76-0.78) with a threshold of 4.5. Furthermore, 6108 patients who had received ultrasonography completed the follow-up. DVT patients had a hazard ratio of 1.75 (95% CI 1.11-2.76; P = 0.005) in the mortality, compared to non-DVT ones. Caprini scores were significantly associated with increase in the mortality [odds ratio (OR) 1.14; 95% CI 1.07-1.21; P < 0.001]; DVT remained an independent effect (OR 1.5; 95% CI 1.02-2.26; P = 0.042). CONCLUSIONS: The Caprini RAM may be valid in Chinese orthopaedic trauma patients. Prevalence of DVT and higher Caprini score were significantly associated with increased all-cause mortality among orthopaedic trauma patients after discharge. Further study is warranted to explore the causes of higher mortality in patients with DVT.

Derivation and Validation of a Clinical Risk Assessment Model for Cancer-Associated Thrombosis in Two Unique US Health Care Systems.

PURPOSE: Venous thromboembolism (VTE), especially pulmonary embolism (PE) and lower extremity deep vein thrombosis (LE-DVT), is a serious and potentially preventable complication for patients with cancer undergoing systemic therapy. METHODS: Using retrospective data from patients diagnosed with incident cancer from 2011-2020, we derived a parsimonious risk assessment model (RAM) using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression from the Harris Health System (HHS, n = 9,769) and externally validated it using the Veterans Affairs (VA) health care system (n = 79,517). Bootstrapped c statistics and calibration curves were used to assess external model discrimination and fit. Dichotomized risk strata using integer scores were created and compared against the Khorana score (KS). RESULTS: Incident VTE and PE/LE-DVT at 6 months occurred in 590 (6.2%) and 437 (4.6%) patients in HHS and 4,027 (5.1%) and 3,331 (4.2%) patients in the VA health care system. Assessed at the time of systemic therapy initiation, the new RAM included components of the KS with the modified cancer subtype, cancer staging, systemic therapy class, history of VTE, history of paralysis/immobility, recent hospitalization, and Asian/Pacific Islander race. The c statistic was 0.71 in HHS and 0.68 in the VA health care system (compared with 0.65 and 0.60, respectively, for KS). Furthermore, the new RAM appropriately reclassified 28% of patients and increased the proportion of VTEs in the high-risk group from 37% to 68% in the validation data set. CONCLUSION: The novel RAM stratified patients with cancer into a high-risk group with 8%-10% cumulative incidence of VTE and 7% PE/LE-DVT at 6 months (v 3% and 2%, respectively, in the low-risk group). The model had improved performance over the original KS and doubled the number of VTE events in the high-risk stratum. We encourage additional external validation from prospective studies.[Media: see text].

Thromboembolic events in hospitalised patients with COVID-19: ecological assessment with a scoping review.

OBJECTIVES: Thrombosis is a common complication of the novel COVID-19. Pre-COVID-19 studies reported racial differences in the risk of developing thrombosis. This study aimed to describe the geographical variations in the reported incidences and outcomes of thromboembolic events and thromboprophylaxis in hospitalised patients with COVID-19. The final search for randomised clinical trials was carried out in January 2022. Screening eligible articles and data extraction were independently performed in duplicate by multiple reviewers. DESIGN: Scoping review. MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Libraries were searched using terms related to COVID-19 and thromboembolism. SETTING: Hospitals all over the world. PARTICIPANTS: In-hospital patients with COVID-19. OUTCOME MEASURES: The incidence of deep venous thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE), and the prophylactic anticoagulation therapy. RESULTS: In total, 283 studies were eligible, representing (239 observational studies, 39 case series and 7 interventional studies). The incidence of DVT was the highest in Asia (40.8%) and hospital mortality was high (22.7%). However, the incidence of PE was not very high in Asia (3.2%). On the contrary, the incidence of PE was the highest in the Middle East (16.2%) and Europe (14. 6%). Prophylactic anticoagulation therapy with low-molecular-weight heparin was the main treatment provided in all areas. Four of the seven randomised clinical trials were conducted internationally. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of DVT was the highest in Asia. The incidence of PE was higher in the Middle East and Europe; however, detection bias during the pandemic cannot be ruled out. There were no major differences in the type or dose of prophylactic anticoagulants used for thromboprophylaxis among the regions.

Comparison of the predictive power of the 2005 and 2010 Caprini risk assessment models for deep vein thrombosis in Chinese orthopedic patients at admission: A prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Several DVT risk assessment tools have been developed and validated to stratify the patients. The 2005 and 2010 Caprini risk assessment models (RAMs) proved reliable in detecting deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and are widely used worldwide. Although the 2010 version was recently modified, the 2005 version is still more exact and popular in the surgical population. This study aimed to compare the predictive power of the 2005 and 2010 Caprini RAMs in Chinese orthopedic patients at admission and describe the incidence of DVT during hospitalization. STUDY DESIGN: This prospective cohort study involved 2733 patients from the Arthritis Clinic and Research Center, Orthopedics and Traumatology Department, Orthopedic Oncology Department, and Spinal Surgery Department of Peking University People's Hospital from September 2018 to January 2019. The DVT risk scores and levels were determined for all patients using the 2005 and 2010 Caprini RAMs at admission. The sensitivity and specificity of the two tools were calculated. The patients were divided into the screened and unscreened groups according to whether or not a Doppler ultrasound (DUS) was performed. Depending upon the DUS results, the patients were divided into the DVT and non-DVT groups. The receiver operation characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were evaluated to compare the predictive power. RESULTS: Eighty-four patients had DVT in the four orthopedic departments, and the incidence of DVT was 3.1 %-17.2 %. The scores between the 2005 and 2010 Caprini RAMs differed (P < 0.001) among orthopedic patients at admission. Among DVT patients, the highest-risk patients accounted for 63.5 % and 52.9 % based on the 2005 and 2010 Caprini RAMs, respectively. The AUCs of the 2005 and 1020 Caprini RAMs were 0.669 ± 0.030 and 0.648 ± 0.032, respectively. There were no significant differences between the two ROC curves (P = 0.164). CONCLUSION: The 2005 and 2010 Caprini RAMs showed a similar predictive power in detecting DVT, but neither met the high sensitivity criteria for screening DVT in orthopedic patients. The incidence of DVT in orthopedic patients was relatively high during hospitalization.

A systematic review of routine post operative screening duplex ultrasound after thermal and non-thermal endovenous ablation.

OBJECTIVE: The Society of Vascular Surgery and the American Venous Forum recommend duplex ultrasound (DUS) following endovenous ablation. However, this screening may not be cost-effective or clinically indicated. The most common abnormal finding, endovenous heat-induced thrombosis (EHIT level 1-2), represents extension of thrombus from the saphenous <50% across the femoral or popliteal vein, which is thought to have a benign course regardless of intervention. The likelihood of venous thromboembolism (VTE) after thermal and non-thermal ablations was explored to determine the utility of routine postoperative DUS. METHODS: This is an updated and expanded systematic review including data from randomized trials and large observational studies (≥150 patients) of thermal and non-thermal ablations, examining the incidence of VTE. Using PubMed and EMBASE, 4584 publications were screened from 2000 through 2020. After applying inclusion and exclusion criteria, 72 studies were included. Random effects DerSimonian-Laird method was conducted to obtain the pooled incidence. We calculated the number of tests needed to detect one VTE, and the cost was derived from Center for Medicare Services tables. RESULTS: A total of 31,663 patients were included. The pooled incidence of EHIT II-IV, deep venous thrombosis (DVT), and pulmonary embolism (PE) was 1.32% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75%-2.02%); DVT (excluding EHIT), 0.20% (95% CI, 0.0%-0.2%); EHIT (I-IV), 2.51% (95% CI, 1.54%-3.68%); and EHIT (II-IV), 1.00% (95% CI, 0.51%-1.61%). There was no mortality. There was a lower DVT rate in thermal vs non-thermal ablations (0.23% vs 0.43%; P = .02); however, for all VTE (EHIT I-IV + DVT + PE), thermal techniques had more thrombosis (2.5% vs 0.5%; P <.001). When clinical significance is defined as DVT + EHIT (II-IV), 175 studies are needed to identify one VTE, costing $21,813 per "significant VTE." Patients receiving pharmacological prophylaxis had less EHIT I-IV compared with those who did not (3.04% vs 1.63%; P < .001); those who received DUS during the first post-op week had three times higher EHIT incidence compared with those whose first DUS was >7 days postoperative (6.6% vs 2.4%; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: For thermal and non-thermal endovenous ablations, the incidence of VTE diagnosed with routine DUS is small and without clear clinical significance but caries a high cost. The Society of Vascular Surgery and the American Venous Forum recommendation to perform DUS within 72 hours is not justified by these data. We recommend a more targeted post-ablation scanning protocol including symptomatic patients and those at high risk.

Comparison of Autar scale and Wells criteria in DVT risk assessment by nurses in patients with lower extremity trauma.

BACKGROUND: Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is a common and preventable complication in patients with lower extremity trauma. DVT prediction is considered to be necessary. PURPOSE: This study aimed to compare the Autar DVT risk assessment scale with modified Wells criteria in predicting DVT by nurses in patients with lower extremity trauma. METHODS: Patients with lower extremity trauma patients who met the requirements for this study were assessed by both the Autar and Wells tools for DVT risk assessment during the first 24 hours after their admission. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS 18. RESULTS: There was a significant and direct statistical relationship between the results of risk assessment of these two tools based on Pearson correlation (r= 0.731, P<0.0001). Kappa coefficient between the two was 53%. Sensitivity and specificity of the Autar scale were 100% and 68%, respectively, which revealed a higher degree of sensitivity than that of the Wells criteria. CONCLUSION: Although the results of DVT prediction for the Autar scale and modified Wells criteria were consistent, the Autar DVT risk assessment scale showed higher sensitivity. Therefore, it is recommended that the Autar scale be used to achieve more precise DVT predictions.

[Intervention strategy based on Caprini risk assessment model and its clinical effect in preventing deep vein thrombosis after total hip replacement].

OBJECTIVE: To analyze clinical effect of intervention strategies based on Caprini thrombosis risk assessment model for preventing deep vein thrombosis (DVT) after total hip replacement (THR). METHODS: From January 2018 to December 2021, 197 patients with THR were selected as retrospective cohort study subjects, including 114 males and 83 females, aged from 45 to 80 years with an average of (66.81±10.34) years old. Caprini thrombosis risk assessment model introduced in May 2019 was used as boundary and divided into two groups, 94 patients were performed routine intervention strategies(control group) and 103 patients were received intervention strategies based on Caprini thrombosis risk assessment model (observation group). Incidence of DVT, visual analogue scale (VAS), circumference difference of affected limb, serum D-dimer (D-D) level and Harris score of hip function between two groups were analyzed. RESULTS: One-hundred and ninty-seven patients were followed up from 1 to 3 months with an average of (2.57±0.31) months. Incidence of DVT was 1.94% in observation group and 11.70% in control group, and there was statistical difference between two groups (χ2=6.642, P=0.010). VAS scores between two groups decreased gradually (P<0.001). There was significant difference between two groups in VAS score on the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 7th day after operation (P<0.05), but no difference between two groups on the 10th day after operation (P>0.05). Difference in circumference of the affected limb between two groups after operation was gradually reduced (P<0.001), and the difference in circumference of the affected limb between two groups was statistically significant on the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 7th, and 10th day after operation(P<0.05). Levels of serum D-D between two groups were gradually decreased after operation(P<0.05), and differences in serum D-D levels between two groups on the 8th, 24th, 48th, and 72th hour after operation were statistically significant (P<0.05). Pain score and Harris total scores between two groups were significantly increased as tomes goes on(P<0.001), no difference in VAS at 3 months after discharge, and there were statistically significant differences in Harris scores between two groups immediately after discharge, 1 month and 3 months after discharge (P<0.001). CONCLUSION: Intervention strategy based on Caprini thrombosis risk assessment model could reduce incidence of DVT in patients with THR, improve postoperative pain and swelling of the affected limb, and promote recovery of hip joint function.

The application of Caprini Risk Assessment Model in evaluation of deep vein thrombosis for patients with end-stage osteoarthritis before arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) was a fatal complication of knee arthroplasty. We had neglected the risk factors of preoperative DVT although patients undergoing knee arthroplasty were at high risk for VTE. This study was to determine the risk factors for preoperative DVT and application of Caprini Risk Assessment Model (RAM) in patients with end-stage knee osteoarthritis (OA). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 1808 cases with end-stage knee OA undergoing primary knee arthroplasty from May 2015 to December 2020. Based on the results of ultrasonography in lower extremities, all patients were divided into non-DVT group and DVT group. Distribution of risk factors and risk levels were compared using χ2 test between two groups. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to determine the risk factors and relationship of risk levels and preoperative DVT. RESULTS: The incidence of preoperative DVT was 5.53% (n = 100). Distribution of the study population by risk level was low, 4.09%; moderate, 23.95%; high, 66.98%; and highest 4.98%. Female (P = 0.002), age (P = 0.012), swollen legs (P = 0.035) and history of blood clots (P < 0.001) was correlated with preoperative DVT. Difference among four risk levels was significant (P = 0.007). Patients with highest risk level had statistically significant association with preoperative DVT (P = 0.005, OR = 2.93, 95%CI [1.375-6.246]). CONCLUSION: The incidence of preoperative DVT was 5.53% in end-stage knee OA patients. The gender (female) and age were independent risk factors for preoperative DVT. The risk group classification by Caprini RAM was significantly associated with preoperative DVT. The usage of Caprini RAM before knee arthroplasty may be beneficial for prophylaxis of DVT.

Risk of Postoperative Thromboembolism in Men Undergoing Urological Prosthetic Surgery: An Assessment of 21,413 Men.

PURPOSE: We assessed venous thromboembolism (VTE) and associated risk factors following artificial urinary sphincter (AUS) and inflatable penile prosthesis (IPP) surgery. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using IBM® MarketScan, a commercial claims database, patients undergoing AUS and IPP surgery were identified using CPT® and ICD (International Classification of Diseases)-10 procedure codes between 2008 and 2017. ICD-9 and -10 codes were used to identify health care visits associated with lower extremity deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) within 90 days of surgery. Covariates were assessed using a multivariable model to determine association with outcome of DVT and/or PE. RESULTS: A total of 21,413 men underwent AUS (4,870) or IPP (16,543) surgery between 2008 and 2017 with a median age of 62 years and 68 years, respectively. DVT and PE events following AUS and IPP surgery occurred in 1.54% and 1.04%, respectively. A history of varicose veins (HR 2.76; 95% CI 1.11-6.79), prior history of DVT (HR 13.65; 95% CI 7.4-25.19), or PE (HR 7.65; 95% CI 4.01-14.6) in those undergoing AUS surgery was highly associated with development of postoperative VTE. Likewise, prior history of DVT (HR 12.6; 95% CI 7.99-19.93) and PE (HR 8.9; 95% CI 5.6-14.13) was strongly associated with a VTE event following IPP surgery. CONCLUSIONS: In a large cohort of men undergoing AUS and IPP surgery, 1.54% and 1.04% of men experienced a VTE event within 90 days of surgery, respectively. Prior history of varicose veins, DVT, and PE was associated with an increased likelihood of developing a postoperative DVT or PE.

Routine Lower Extremity Screening Ultrasound Protocols in Trauma Patients Are Not Cost Effective.

BACKGROUND: Despite prophylaxis, deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism remain dreaded complications following traumatic injury and are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Screening ultrasound (US) protocols have been employed in trauma centers for early detection of lower extremity (LE) deep venous thrombosis. We hypothesized that screening lower extremity venous duplex US would not prove cost effective in our trauma population who receives early pharmacologic prophylaxis. METHODS: Data was collected for one year on all adult trauma patients admitted to the trauma service from December 2019 to 2020. DVT screening US was obtained at 3 days after admission for patients with long bone or pelvic fracture, spinal cord injury, immobility, and/or spinal fracture requiring surgery. Screening US was obtained at 7 days for all others and repeated weekly until discharge. Data was retrospectively collected and analyzed. RESULTS: Exactly 1365 patients met inclusion criteria with median ISS 12 (IQR, 9-17), median age 56 (IQR, 36-73 years), and with majority blunt injuries (90.7%). A total of 1369 screening US were performed finding 27 DVTs (2%). The total cost of screening for the year analyzed amounted to over $270,000 with 50.7 screening US needed to detect 1 DVT. This resulted in an average screening cost of over $10,000 for the detection of a single DVT. DISCUSSION: In trauma patients receiving early pharmacologic prophylaxis, routine LE screening US protocols to detect LE DVT are not cost effective.

[Risk prediction for deep venous thrombosis after total knee arthroplasty based on modified Caprini risk assessment model:a confirmatory study].

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effectiveness of modified Caprini risk assessment model(Caprini MRAM) in predicting the risk of deep venous thrombosis (DVT) after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). METHODS: A case-control study was used to collect 43 patients with DVT after TKA in lower limb department of Sichuan Orthopedic Hospital from January 2016 to November 2020 in the positive group, and 172 patients without DVT after TKA in the same period according to the 1∶4 ratio between positive and control group were selected in the control group. Caprini MRAM was used to score and grade the risk of DVT. The clinical data, score and risk classification of the two groups were compared. The relationship between the risk of DVT in the patients after TKA and the risk factors in the risk ckassification and assessment of Caprini MRAM was analyzed by multivariate logistic regression model. RESULTS: The average score of caprini in DVT group was significantly higher than that in control group[(8.11±2.91) vs(4.07±2.12), P<0.001];DVT group was mainly at medium and high risk group(66.67%), while the control group was mainly at low risk (77.33%). There was a significant difference between the two groups in risk classification composition (P<0.001). BMI≥30 kg/m2, lower extremity edema (<1 month), severe pulmonary disease (<1 month), acute myocardial infarction (<1 month), bed rest (> 2 h), history of superficial or deep vein or pulmonary embolism and family history of thrombosis were the main risk factors for DVT in patients after TKA(all P<0.05). Preoperative D-dimer elevation (OR=4.380), BMI≥30 kg/m2(OR=2.518), lower extremity edema(<1 month)(OR=7.652), acute myocardial infarction (<1 month) (OR=1.994), bed rest (> 72 h)(OR=3.897), history of superficial or deep vein or pulmonary embolism (OR=13.517) and family history of blood embolism (OR=6.551) were independent risk factors for DVT in patients after TKA (all P<0.05). The risk of DVT was 13.457 and 2.739 times higher in high and moderate risk TKA patients with Caprini MRAM classification, respectively. CONCLUSION: Caprini MRAM can be used to predict the risk of DVT in patients after TKA, especially for patients with high risk.

Assessment of risk factors for deep vein thrombosis associated with natural anticoagulants and fibrinolytic regulatory proteins.

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is a critical condition and a potential cause of mortality and morbidity in Africa and worldwide with a high recurrence rate. The study was designed to assess the roles of natural anticoagulants and fibrinolytic regulatory factors in the development of DVT in Sudanese patients. A case-control study was conducted in Omdurman Teaching Hospital, Khartoum State over a period of 1 year. The study enrolled 200 patients diagnosed with DVT and 200 age-matched and gender-matched controls. Demographic data and data on acquired risk factors were collected using a semi-structured questionnaire. Protein C (PC), protein S (PS), antithrombin III (AT-III), thrombin-activable fibrinolysis inhibitor (TAFI), and plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) were measured in patients and controls. Among the patients with DVT, 5.5% had PC deficiency, 8.5% had PS deficiency, and 3% had AT-III deficiency. Elevated TAFI and PAI-1 levels were demonstrated in 1.5 and 0.5% of patients, respectively. Risk factors for DVT (overweight, surgical history, and family history of DVT) were remarkably higher in patients than in controls. Among the female participants, pregnancy and usage of oral contraceptive pills were the highest associated risk factors for DVT. The findings concluded that the early assessment of risk factors, including the measurements of natural inhibitors, can predict the occurrence of DVT before it is actually detected in patients.

Incidence of postoperative thrombotic events in ovarian cancer patients with a de-escalated prophylactic strategy: A retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the incidence of thrombotic events in ovarian cancer patients following a de-escalated prophylactic strategy and to stratify risk groups. METHODS: We reviewed the records of patients who underwent debulking surgery for ovarian cancer at a single institution between January 2007 and May 2019. We identified clinically diagnosed and radiologically confirmed cases of thrombotic events-classified as pulmonary thromboembolism (PE), deep vein thrombosis (DVT), and other thrombotic events-within 6 months of debulking surgery. RESULTS: After excluding 13 patients diagnosed with thromboembolism at the baseline or during neoadjuvant chemotherapy, 799 were analyzed. Since the introduction of medical prophylaxis at our institution in 2009, 482 patients (60%) received medical prophylaxis with subcutaneous injection of low molecular weight heparin for 5 days with mechanical prophylaxis, whereas 317 (40%) received mechanical prophylaxis only. After debulking surgery, thrombotic events occurred in 28 patients (3.5%) including PE (n = 11), DVT (n = 10), and other thrombotic events (n = 7). Multivariable analysis identified age, body mass index (BMI), and operative duration as independent risk factors associated with thrombotic events. A thrombotic event was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (HR 2.17, 95% CI 1.16-4.1). A cut-off analysis for pre-operative identifiable risk factors showed age < 57 years and BMI < 21 could help define low-risk groups. One patient from 172 low-risk patients (0.58%) experienced a thrombotic event. CONCLUSIONS: The thrombotic event incidence was low in our cohort. A de-escalated prophylaxis strategy may be considered in young (age < 57 years) and lean (BMI < 21) patients.

Assessment of deep vein thrombosis using routine pre- and postoperative duplex Doppler ultrasound in patients with pelvic trauma : a prospective study.

AIMS: The aims of this study were to assess the pre- and postoperative incidence of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) using routine duplex Doppler ultrasound (DUS), to assess the incidence of pulmonary embolism (PE) using CT angiography, and to identify the factors that predict postoperative DVT in patients with a pelvic and/or acetabular fracture. METHODS: All patients treated surgically for a pelvic and/or acetabular fracture between October 2016 and January 2020 were enrolled into this prospective single-centre study. The demographic, medical, and surgical details of the patients were recorded. DVT screening of the lower limbs was routinely performed using DUS before and at six to ten days after surgery. CT angiography was used in patients who were suspected of having PE. Age-adjusted univariate and stepwise multiple logistic regression analysis were used to determine the association between explanatory variables and postoperative DVT. RESULTS: A total of 191 patients were included. A DVT was found preoperatively in 12 patients (6.3%), of which six were proximal. A postoperative DVT was found in 42 patients (22%), of which 27 were proximal. Eight patients (4.2%) had a PE, which was secondary to a DVT in three. None of the 12 patients in whom a vena cava filter was implanted prophylactically had a PE. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that the association with the need for spinal surgery (odds ratio (OR) 19.78 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12 to 348.08); p = 0.041), intramedullary nailing of a long bone fracture (OR 4.44 (95% CI 1.05 to 18.86); p = 0.043), an operating time > two hours (OR 3.28 (95% CI 1.09 to 9.88); p = 0.035), and additional trauma surgery (OR 3.1 (95% CI 1.03 to 9.45); p = 0.045) were statistically the most relevant independent predictors of a postoperative DVT. CONCLUSION: The acknowledgement of the risk factors for the development of a DVT and their weight is crucial to set a threshold for the index of suspicion for this diagnosis by medical staff. We suggest the routine use of the DUS screening for DVT in patients with a pelvic and/or acetabular fracture before and six to ten days after surgery. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(2):283-289.

Risk of Thromboembolic Events and Associated Healthcare Costs in Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

INTRODUCTION: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is associated with greater risk of thromboembolic events (TEs) due to the link between systemic inflammation and hypercoagulability. This study assessed the rates of TEs among patients with IBD versus patients without immune-mediated disease (IMD) and the cost of TEs among patients with IBD in the United States. METHODS: This study used the IBM MarketScan® Commercial and Medicare Supplemental Databases (2014-2018). To assess the incremental rates of TEs (deep vein thrombosis [DVT], pulmonary embolism [PE], ischemic stroke [IS], myocardial infarction [MI]), patients with IBD were matched to patients without IMD. Unadjusted and adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of TEs were used to compare cohorts. To assess the cost of TEs, patients with IBD with TEs were matched to patients with IBD without TEs. Costs were assessed 30 days and 1 year post index date. RESULTS: There were 34,687 matched pairs included in the rates of TE analyses. Compared to patients without IMD, patients with IBD had greater rates of DVT (adjusted IRR [95% confidence interval] 2.44 [2.00, 2.99]; p < 0.01) and PE (1.90 [1.42, 2.54]; p < 0.01). Increased rates were not observed for IS and MI. There were 1885 matched pairs included in the cost of TE analyses. Patients with IBD with TEs incurred greater healthcare costs over 30 days and 1 year versus patients without TEs (adjusted total cost difference: 30 days $20,784; 1 year $44,630; p < 0.01 for both). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with IBD experienced greater rates of DVT and PE compared to patients without IMD; this elevated risk was associated with a substantial economic burden.

Risk factors assessment for radiographically guided port implantations with forearm access.

INTRODUCTION: Port implantations at the forearm are associated with an increased risk of relevant vein thrombosis. Therefore, with this study we sought to identify the responsible risk factors to improve technical quality of the method. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of 313 patients with port implantation at the forearm in 2019. Then, exploratory statistics were conducted comprising Cox-Regression and Kaplan-Meier-Analyses. RESULTS: Mean age was 60 ± 14 years. 232 (74%) of the patients were female. No early infection was observed. 29 late infections and 57 cases of thrombosis occurred. In only 9% of the patients with thrombosis hospital admission was necessary for treatment. Median interval to the diagnosis of thrombosis was 23 days; inter-quartile-range: 16-75. Mean interval to elective port explantation was 227 ± 128 days. There was no effect of occurrence of thrombosis of the interventionalist, the assistance nor of several technical aspects. However, there was a significantly lower risk of thrombosis for primary implanted port system compared to replacement ports, Hazard-ratio: 0.34 [Confidence interval: 0.172, 0.674], p = 0.002. Age was a significant risk factor for late infections, Hazard-ratio: 3.35 [Confidence interval:1.84, 6.07], p < 0.0001. CONCLUSION: The main risk factor for adverse outcome after radiographically guided port implantation at the forearm is the type of the implanted port system. The reason for that might not be the material itself but the experience of a team with a certain port system. Age is a risk factor for late complications.